Los Angeles Real Estate Market Forecast. Now economists predict: “It will not be a pretty picture” By Elijah Chiland Mar 19, 2020, 8:35am PDT That’s a forecast growth of about 20,000 homes per year over current current 2016 levels. It’s the Los Angeles housing forecast that is perhaps one of the most interesting forecasts for the US for the next few years. The Metro Los Angeles housing market posted a year-over-year increase of 23.2% in single-family home sales. and last updated 2020-10-29 21:33:35-04 SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Low inventory and historically low interest rates are driving California's red-hot real estate market. According to a Harvard real estate guru, bubbles don’t burst until demand dries up — an increase in unsold inventory and that’s not what’s happening. California Housing Market Home Inventory Timeline. READ ARTICLE » LATEST … Original copy posted March 2013. A young city with an average age of just 35.8 years old, and it offers plenty of opportunity for people who want to change their life. That’s down about 7% … Are you okay with that? The problem is that homeowners don’t want to sell and buyers can’t afford the prices. Live Webinar Format. These forecasts are based on industry trends and other factors, and they involve risks, variables, and uncertainties. Not only are sales decreasing, but, prices are increasing in various locations. Much like the late 1980s, real estate had been on a roll of late. The housing market heated up after the Fed turned dovish in 2019, and in 2020 the momentum is poised to continue, according to analysts. Since then, there has been a consistent decline. Like the stock market, this is sometimes spot on, but not always. Based on our forecasts, a long-term increase is expected, the predicted price of an average home in the "Los Angeles" area is 855700 USD by 2025-11-30. Even with this, the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index designated Los Angeles with the title of least affordable housing market. View the Los Angeles regional charts below for details on current activity and forecasts for its housing market. Mar. Are Solar Roofing Installations a Powerful Selling Feature? Home sales volume remains low. The Covid 19 shutdowns have impacted the rental housing market, yet prices have risen and look to rise further in the face of ongoing rental housing shortages, and a housing market that may cool. Low home affordability continues to depress buyers in Los Angeles and across California. SUBURBAN MULTIFAMILY WILL CONTINUE TO OUTPERFORM IN 2020 Buying or building in the suburbs will remain the best bet based on market performance and investment returns. Price growth is predictable. The housing market was beginning to heat up at the end of 2019 and into early 2020. The United States set a record for the longest economic expansion this month, but this is forecasted to end in 2020. Zillow has forecast house prices in Los Angeles to rise throughout 2018 while CAR shows it moderating. The median list price of an LA home, as stated on Movoto, is $1,195,000, with a price-per-square-foot averaging at $696, which is down from the $678 the peak value home buyers saw in August 2019. The market is a 2 tiered one of inner city vs suburbs … August’s home sales were the best in 14 years as a number of factors continue to drive interest in home buying in 2020. In fact, almost 3 in 4 people cannot afford to purchase a medium-sized home. Active listings dropped in Southern California by 12,500 units. Bookmark this page and return for further forecasts, predictions and market data for most major US cities including  Los Angeles, New York City, San Diego, San Francisco, Houston, Miami, Dallas, Phoenix, Denver, Seattle, Chicago, Boston, Tampa, Charlotte, Orlando, Anaheim, Beverly Hills, Malibu, San Jose, Fresno, Santa Clara, Mountainview, Palo Alto, Encinitas, Escondido, Thousand Oaks, Pasadena, Santa Ana, Irvine, Fontana, Moreno Valley, Bakersfield, Alameda, Oakland, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Walnut Creek, Vallejo, Napa, Citrus Heights, San Rafael, Huntington Beach, Long Beach, Palm Desert, Palm Springs, San Bernardino, Lakewood, Compton, Inglewood,  Torrance,  Oceanside Carlsbad, Riverside, Las Vegas, Reno, and Charleston. The 90012 zip code includes Chinatown, the Civic Center, Elysian Park, Victor Heights, parts of the Arts District and Bunker Hill, and most of Little Tokyo. While prices peaked last summer, the cooling of the market is a sign that there is an opportunity for homebuyers to find a great property for them across the city. The real estate market in Los Angeles can be termed as a seller’s market. While you may be able to afford a down payment and mortgage costs, you should also make sure that you can provide other factors that come with owning a property, especially one as expensive as the Los Angeles area. According to historical data, LA property prices peaked at an increase of 8.2% in April 2018. With everything against the market, median house prices in greater Metro Los Angeles actually rose $25,000 above July’s sales price. How about finding lower car insurance rates and making it a habit of shopping for auto insurance every year? The median home price of the Los Angeles metropolitan region rose to $630,000, up 15.6% from last year. Nixza Gonzalez - April 16, 2019. Updated September 7, 2020. Homebuying in Los Angeles in 2020 is off to a busy start. Shelter-in-place orders have slowed the real estate industry to a crawl. In the coming year, the real estate market predicts that housing prices will increase by as much as 4.2%. San Diego County may be a better option for the short term. Photo courtesy of marisolmalibu.com. This means the housing demands are greater than the supply; consequently, some of the buyers are normally priced out due to the steep property value. As of July 27th, the multi-family rent … Prices instead are forecast to rise 3% in Los Angeles County by April 2021, 5% in Orange County and 6% in the Inland Empire, CoreLogic estimated. Sales however dropped 1.7% from July likely due only to dwindling housing supply. The Trump instability and trade issue might be a pause before even more money pours into the reviving American economy. Home Price Trends courtesy of S&P Corelogic Case Shiller. Los Angeles (June 24, 2020) — In its March quarterly forecast, the UCLA Anderson Forecast revised its outlook for the U.S. economy downward because of the expected impact of COVID-19, which was then still being referred to as an epidemic. Supply is the problem. However, the major issue with LA is its lack of affordability. The median price of an average house in Los Angeles was 750635 USD on 2020-11-26. The Los Angeles home price graph below courtesy of Zillow shows how prices have almost returned to pre-recession values and are beginning to level off. By. In the coming year, the real estate market predicts that housing prices will increase by as much as 4.2%. A lot depends on the political climate and interest rates. Are the Asian and Persian buyers pulling out of LA? 's "2020 California Housing Market Forecast" sees a small uptick in existing single-family home sales of 0.8 percent next year to reach 393,500 units, up … The exact figures, however, are less important than the explanation behind the expected drop. We cover key market data and recent California real estate trends including home prices, home sales, and more. The housing market forecast from Realtor.com shows that sales of homes will decline by 15 percent in the year 2020 as a whole. Ongoing job losses could lead to fewer home sales in Q3 – Q4 2020. In this post, we present the top 5 California housing market forecasts 2020 from industry experts including NAR, C.A.R, Zillow, and more. Overall, the Los Angeles forecast was very good for sellers with plenty of demand and with the average price of a home hitting $690,000 last summer. Who will win? They worry that their dream of owning a property, rather than renting one, will never come true. Will there be a housing crash in LA this fall if a second wave appears? Does the climate in San Diego, Sacramento , Bay Area, and Los Angeles, high paying jobs, interesting geography, lifestyle and recreation, make California a magnet for people around the world. California Condo Sales and Prices August. LA Curbed’s list of hot zip codes: Los Angeles’s 90012 zip code is shaping up to be the 2nd fastest growing area in the nation at 8.8% growth, 2nd behind only Gilbert AZ. Buyers will want to learn more about the overall housing market forecast and where the economy will go in 2021 before buying. Here’s the updated 2020 Housing forecast from realtor.com.In mid-December realtor.com released the annual 2020 housing forecast. Just recently, the city of Los Angeles allowed homes to go back on sale. With such a high probability of house prices increasing, by the third quarter of 2021, you can expect higher home prices than those in 2018. Greater Los Angeles had a 9.8% drop in investment year-over-year, but the San Francisco Bay Area had a 7.4% increase. There are two reasons it’s a good year to buy in Los Angeles: lower interest rates and high standards for showing and … The Los Angeles, CA housing market is somewhat competitive, scoring 66 out of 100. The resulting demand for rental units will continue to push rental prices up. The situation may become worse than what San Francisco. Yet for those with the funds, luxury home sales are rocketing. This is the only way to understand current trends and make a sensible prediction for what homeowners, both existing and potential, can expect to see in the upcoming year. The Downtown Los Angeles housing market is not very competitive. And real estate investors are hopeful they can find the right property in the right city or zip code. It's time to start worrying about the housing market again because it is completely overheated, with YoY median U.S. home price growth around 12% in 2020. NEWS. Buyers are finding some reprieve in prices. Living in LA is a dream come true for many people. Houses and other types of low rise property with extra rooms are in keen demand for those who are working at home, or who simply want out of high density districts. Chart update 09/07/20 Home sales volume remains low. It’s good to share!! To forecast prices and demand for the LA region, we’d have to examine the cause of the moderation and if it’s a fact. Check more on the Stock Market Forecast predictions for 2021. Sales were still at a record low for a June and down 15.2% from a year earlier, but deals had declined 45% year over year in May and fell 31.5% in April.. Affordability is dropping though and only 30% of LA county residents own a home. California Housing Market Snapshot August. According to the March CoreLogic Home Price Index and HPI Forecast, home prices are projected to grow at an annual rate of 0.5% from March 2020 to … In all three, 6% of all active listings were taken off the market last week. Some zip codes and neighborhoods are subject to higher premiums. By December 2020, LA homes will cost around $747,000. California Home Prices Will Drop. It’s well-known that house prices in the California real estate … Home price appreciation had ... Where Goldman Sachs’ measured effects of COVID deviate from their overall quarterly forecasts (mainly for Q1 and Q2 2020 data), we stick with the monthly forecasts. Sellers in Chicago, Los Angeles and Philadelphia were especially prone to pullbacks. Contact Cher and speak to the helpful team of experts that can provide information on the market's best co-owning or co-borrowing properties. Understanding the Los Angeles Real Estate Housing Market Forecasts and Trends U.S. News & World Report | @usnews July 30, 2020, 12:00 AM That depends on the economy, stimulus aid payments, and perhaps on the election on November 3rd. The Future of Aerospace Technology and Industry in Greater Los Angeles. We know…, Federal Courts Rule in Favour of Anti Trust Legislators Back…, How do Get the Best Price for Your Home? Home Prices by Type. LOS ANGELES, CA — UCLA economists revised and downgraded their forecast for California's housing market Wednesday, warning that the market will likely weaken next year. Sales were up 5% since last month and are actually down .6% from August 2019. If incomes should rise in the LA area, it could have the effect of stimulating new housing construction and increase sales of homes. Realtors: Check out other posts providing realtor tips, prospecting strategies, social media strategy, and tactics used by top flight luxury realtors and even lead generation companies. In Los Angeles buyers are willing to pony up more money to buy from a selection of fewer homes for sale. Agents and real estate observers say that in the “lower” end of the market—where homes … Screenshot courtesy of CAR.org. However, even with this, only one person could view an open house at a time, and if two people did need to be there, it must be people who currently live together. | Boston Home Prices | New York Home Prices | House Prices Tampa? Real estate agent, Compass. That’s compared to the original housing market forecast of a decline of 1.8 percent in home sales. Ongoing job losses could lead to fewer home sales in Q3 – Q4 2020. Since the orders lifted, however, Lindsay Katz, a real estate agent with Redfin in the Los Angeles area, says people are eager to correct issues they found … | Atlanta Home Prices | San Diego Home Prices | When Will Mortgage Rates Rise? In order to figure out predictions for the next upcoming years, we must be able to analyze the current housing market. I'm updating this article as we enter 2021 and beyond. Housing Market Predictions for 2019, 2020, 2022, and 2025: What to Expect from the Housing Sector in the Future? Screenshot courtesy of Trulia. Are you paying too much for car insurance in Los Angeles? Another interesting stat provided by firsttuesday is the very low rate of home ownership and how much it’s plummeted. The Los Angeles Housing Market Forecast Over the past year, properties in Los Angeles have risen by 2%. California Home Sales History Timeline. Compared to August 2020, the median price increased by 2.4%. California Association of Realtors in its June housing sales report said Realtors were feeling optimistic but a lack of supply is impeding the California real estate market recovery.. In the greater Los Angeles region, single detached homes rose $22,000 to a new price of $553,000.. San Francisco Bay Area, home prices jumped $35,000 or 3.6% over last month to a new average price of $1 … It's time to start worrying about the housing market again because it is completely overheated, with YoY median U.S. home price growth around 12% in 2020. Live Webinar Format. To understand why such a late decline is expected, you first have to consider how housing markets have been functioning during the crisis so … Chart update 09/07/20 The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for Los Angeles is 78%. This comes with the fact that out of all homes sold during Q4 of 2019, there were only 11.9% of sold properties that were affordable for families who earn the median income, which is just over $73,000. July 23, 2020 2:27 PM The Southern California housing market is showing signs of heating up after a coronavirus-induced slump. These regulations have slowed down the efficiency of the housing market. August home sales in August were surprising. Screenshot courtesy of CAR.org. The real estate market was a bit more balanced for buyers and sellers before the coronavirus pandemic led to shelter-in-place orders and a sharp decline in housing market activity, though multiple offers on a home were still common. The accuracy of the forecast is just under 80% and is considered a positive trend. Malibu Coastal. Southern California Housing Market Sales Timeline. Screenshot courtesy of CAR.org. Welcome back to the channel this is a housing market update for August 6, 2020. Condo prices in LA County rose $9,000 from July and are up $44,000 since last August. The updated data forecasts shows “sales of homes to fall 15 percent in 2020 with prices flattening.” That’s compared to the original forecast of a slight home sales decline of 1.8 percent. December 2020 Economic Outlook. Realtors. MORE INFO » Recessions and Recoveries in Construction . Chances are if…, Copyright 2020 Housing Market and Stock Market Forecasts, A few pundits are suggesting homeowners need to build. It's no secret that LA is an expensive city to live in, but if you're desperate to find your place in the city of Angels, then it's not impossible to find somewhere for you. Check out the top housing factors below affecting housing prices in discover a better homes for sale search process. Compared to August 2020, sales increased by 5.8%. California Association of Realtors in its June housing sales report said Realtors were feeling optimistic but a lack of supply is impeding the California real estate market recovery.. A forecast by Haus shows home prices dropping between 0.5 … Advanced SEO Services for Los Angeles businesses looking to improve their company’s marketing success online. Much is being said about the exodus of people from California, however the bigger trend that’s affected the summer real estate market is the move to buy houses. The US economy will pick up steam and Californians will be buying a home again even if they have 1 hour+ commutes, higher interest rates, and out migration to remote towns. The exodus may actually be helping to keep LA home prices under control. Make American Great Again, also creates excellent investment opportunities in California, paying out in $US. I'm updating this article as we enter 2021 and beyond. The home prices would flatten out. Despite a dip in September, prices for homes and condos are up $24k to $30k from one year ago. California Housing Market Stats August. August’s home sales were the best in 14 years as a  number of factors continue to drive interest in home buying in 2020. Please do Share this post on Facebook, Twitter, or Linkedin. The situation may become worse than what San Francisco, Vancouver, and Toronto have been through, and what Miami, New York, and Boston may be into now. Is it instinct or just common sense that California will continue as the most desired place to live on the planet? It could grow at a 2.55% pace in the next six months faster than the national 1.59 report from Mercury News. Doing so helps you to understand what you can afford upfront, rather than pinch pennies after putting down an offer and potentially experience disappointment later on. Fall home buying season might look like the spring housing market. However, sales are up strongly year over year. @Zillow chief economist Dr. @SvenjaGudell’s forecast on how the housing market will weather this storm is an econ must-read. The hunt continues. Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association, understands the importance of this, informing anyone planning on purchasing a property this year to "understand your budget before you go shopping." That’s compared to the original housing market forecast of a decline of 1.8 percent in home sales. Buyer Survey – Screen Capture courtesy of CAR.org. Related: 10 First time home buyers programs and gra, San Francisco boasts the highest density of millennials across the country and likely the whole world.…, Patent Pending - ©2020 Cher Inc. All Rights Reserved. UPCOMING EVENTS. California Recession Factors to consider: With the potential crash of the stock markets, before or after the elections, we’d have to expect luxury home sales and prices will also recede. This thorough report on the US rental housing market for 2020 and 2021 offers stats, insights, and trends happening as we head toward 2021. This is the same issue in San Francisco Bay Area, San Diego, Sacramento, Florida, Denver, Chicago, and Seattle where buyers simply can’t afford the lower end of the detached housing market. According to the October 2020 Los Angeles County real estate market report, the median sale price for single-family homes is up to $730,000, with homes selling very quickly, on the market for an average of only 29 days. Cher saves you time and money by streamlining the homebuying process saving you thousands on closing costs. The median list price in Los Angeles and Orange counties was $856,575 in the week that ended April 19, according to Zillow. The current housing market features a cooldown that has seen a decrease in sales. The average sale price per square foot in Downtown Los Angeles is $626, down 11.6% since last year. Real estate values are considered a lagging indicator of market shocks, according to Emile L’Eplattenier, chief real estate analyst and managing editor for TheClose.com. While most construction economists believe 2020 will usher in an era of decelerated growth, there’s a surprising amount of space between some of the forecasts for key segments of the market. The data tracker predicts Los Angeles County prices will drop 6.3%, Orange County 5.2%, and the Inland Empire 2.4% in the coming 12 months. Your email address will not be published. 2021. This Stat from CAR shows homes have been on a rollercoaster ride of sorts yet, 2016’s expected resale volume is still well down from 2011 and 2012’s highs. The average Los Angeles house price was $855K last month, up 15.5% since last year. Do you believe we’re in a California housing bubble? | China Economic Outlook | Housing Market Crash | Market Trend | Will Home Prices Fall? Home sellers want to know where the market is going in the next 3 months to 6 months. A few pundits are suggesting homeowners need to build granny flats in everyone’s back yard. Read more on the best zip codes in the US for investors and homebuyers. To discover the trends for the future, however, you need to look at the past. The housing market forecast from Realtor.com shows that sales of homes will decline by 15 percent in the year 2020 as a whole. Realtors: Check out other posts providing. reveals that home sales in Los Angeles is actually well down from historical levels. California’s housing developers are hard pressed to build homes to house the population. It may be a little bumpy, but real estate is … Activity in the Construction Sector can be thought to be a forecast by builders of economic growth in the near future. Getty. See additional housing market reports on New York NYC, San Diego CA, and San Francisco CA. Required fields are marked *. 12.1.2020. Investment also rose in Portland (23.5%). Sales within the California housing market are slumping with the exception of the San Francisco region. A combination of house prices and income makes LA one of the most expensive cities in the country, and this poses a problem for younger residents. It would take a market crash to stop the price rise and even then it would only be for a few years. And with fewer homes on the market, it’s a sellers market. Despite such predictions, it is the analyzing data that gives a much clearer picture of the potential housing market trends you can expect for 2020. The Los Angeles, CA housing market is somewhat competitive, scoring 66 out of 100. In the American Institute of Architects (AIA) Consensus Construction Forecast for 2020 in the area of nonresidential construction — one of the most important drivers of the electrical economy — forecasts from a group of well-known construction economists mark a wide channel of slow growth from -0.4% t… It’s on the uprise now, and you’re left wondering whether Trump’s renewed emphasis of America First will encourage the growth of home ownership? This is because people are unable to buy houses due to lockdown and quarantine measures. C.A.R. The housing prices, after many years of consistent escalation, are beginning to taper off. Santa Monica 90402 – Average home price: $3,237,500, Hermosa Beach 9025 – Average home price: $1,693,500, Lincoln Heights/Montecito 90031 – Average home price $458,500 +14.6%, City Terrace  90063 – Average home price: $320,000 +18.5%, Marina Del Rey 90292 – Average home price: $2,157,500 +23%, Manhattan Beach 90266 – Average home price: $2,100,000 +10%, Compton – 90220 – Average home price: $285,000 +9.8%, Playa Del Rey 90293 – Average home price: $1,517,500 +26.5%, Toluca Lake Studio City  91602 – Average home price: $1,022,500. Only 13% are real estate investors. 7083 Hollywood Blvd, 2nd Floor, Los Angeles, CA 90028 Phone: 212-260-1332 Californias economy grew 4.7% in the 12 months ended in February compared to the national rate of 2.8%. Related: Here’s how California’s Rent Control AB 1482 Law Works. In order to figure out predictions for the next upcoming years, we must be able to analyze the current housing market. Home Prices | Will the Housing Market Crash? Los Angeles New York San Francisco ... A forecast by Haus shows home prices dropping between 0.5 and 2.5 percent from October 2020 to July 2021. The housing market in various parts of the country did start to soften in … Indianapolis, Indiana, is a desirable secondary market . U.S. housing market expansion to continue in 2021, Realtor economist forecasts The median house price will rise 3% in 2021 and sales will jump 9% … Highlights from this housing report: The California Association of REALTORS ® issued a gloomy forecast recently. Los Angeles Housing Market Fall home buying season might look like the spring housing market. California’s housing market is expected to “deteriorate” over the coming months. At the end of 2017, I published this post on why we should start worrying about the housing market again. Even with these trends and forecasts, some attention should focus on the current global pandemic. 3 Year Forecast: UP Forecast Accuracy: 78% The forecast for the trend in the Los Angeles housing market for the 3 years ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2021 is UP. Factors Affecting House prices and Availability in LA. In the greater Los Angeles region, single detached homes rose $22,000 to a new price of $553,000.. San Francisco Bay Area, home prices jumped $35,000 or 3.6% over last month to a new average price of $1 million. Coronavirus has recently affected the real estate and housing market. 2017 is a good year to save:), Here’s the Hottest Zip Codes in Los Angeles. Political battles are forming over the effect of regulations on LA’s and California’s home construction. If you can purchase a home in Los Angeles this year, there are still essential things to consider. The forecast for economic growth for the Los Angeles is optimistic at this point. Corelogic’s forecast predicts home prices nationally will have fallen 6.6 percent year-over-year by May 2021. This intriguing graphic courtesy of https://journal.firsttuesday.us/ reveals that home sales in Los Angeles is actually well down from historical levels. That’s down about 7% … Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more York announces structural and operational changes York Chairman and CEO Jamie Read More. Experts postulated that the reasons for this are that potential buyers are regularly priced-out, making it impossible for them to purchase a property or at least the property that they desire. Los Angeles (June 24, 2020) — In its March quarterly forecast, the UCLA Anderson Forecast revised its outlook for the U.S. economy downward because of the expected impact of COVID-19, which was then still being referred to as an epidemic. Screenshot courtesy of CAR.org. The current housing market features a cooldown that has seen a decrease in sales. That’s likely due to a renewed confidence in the US and California economy and the health of Silicon Valley. As Los Angeles has been a hot market for many years, it is still an excellent time to consider purchasing a property. Startups for instance may be forced to leave San Francisco, Bay Area and LA because of the cost. The average sale price of a home in Downtown Los Angeles was $600K last month, down 3.8% since last year. At the end of 2017, I published this post on why we should start worrying about the housing market again. Many Tenants are Still Paying Rent But It May Not Last. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. It’s not easy to predict though when people are talking real estate bubbles, NAFTA cancellations, Brexit, skyrocketing prices, vacillating oil prices, reduced immigration, and presidential elections. Original copy posted March 2013. Sales are strong and California home prices are predicted to rise further. So, what is the house market forecast and trends for Los Angeles in 2020? Home prices by type. The median list price in Los Angeles and Orange counties was $856,575 in the week that ended April 19, according to Zillow. By December 2020, LA homes will cost around $747,000. The average Los Angeles house price was $855K last month, up 15.5% since last year. A complete recovery of around 110,000 annual home sales will likely occur in 2019-2020, as end user demand in Los Angeles County is buttressed by a Great Confluence of Baby Boomers (Boomers) and first-time buyers who are lured by further employment (needed to accommodate population growth of roughly 1% annually since the beginning of the Great Recession). Screenshot courtesy of Trulia. High cost of living and too high real estate prices have some businesses exiting for Arizona, Florida, Colorado, and Texas. We should keep in mind that only 30% of Californians own a home so the door is wide open for opportunity and new sales, particularly with first time buyers. The high housing costs in the coastal California areas however may prevent many skilled workers from migrating to LA to work. That exodus may help ease keep home prices from running away again this summer. for the most recent info and their forecast up to 2020. The likely reason for that is lower income buyers simply have even less income to buy and of course the high prices. Here’s LA’s hottest zip codes. Although we can only make predictions, these predictions […] 7083 Hollywood Blvd, 2nd Floor, Los Angeles, CA 90028 Phone: 212-260-1332 Infographic Courtesy of CAR.org – LA Buyer Profile. View the Los Angeles regional charts below for details on current activity and forecasts for its housing market.
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